Embraer, the world’s third largest aircraft manufacturer, is upbeat amid ongoing trade dispute between Brazil and the United States as it announced that it is positioned to produce 100 aircraft per year within the next two and half years.
As per a report by Simple Flying, Embraer has emerged strongly with a bright forecast despite concerns about the ongoing trade dispute between Brazil’s government and the US administration under Donald Trump. It reports that the class-leading regional jet maker expects to ramp up production to 100 aircraft per year within the next two and a half years.
This ambitious forecast comes on the heels of another major announcement in partnership with Avelo Airlines, which ordered 50 of the E195-E2 series. Only weeks ago, the aerospace icon was dreading a slump akin to the dark days of the COVID-19 pandemic, but this week it sounds stronger than ever.
Soaring to triple-digit output
As the world’s third-largest planemaker, Embraer is crucial to the global aviation industry. Last week, the latest update predicted between 77 and 85 commercial jet deliveries in 2025. That will represent about a 10 percent improvement, depending on the final numbers. Supply chain issues with aerostructures and engines from overseas cut end-of-year deliveries short in 2024, but that has reportedly been smoothed out this year.
Reuters noted that the last year Embraer successfully hit the 100 annual deliveries mark was in 2017. The outlet quoted CEO Francisco Gomes Neto as warning that supply chain issues will continue to limit production plans for Embraer despite the ambitious goal:
“2026 will still be a more challenging year for commercial jet production. Starting in 2027, we’ll resume our strong growth plan, and I expect that in 2028 we’ll be hitting 100 commercial aircraft per year.”
Stability and prosperity for Embraer
The deal with Avelo is a $4.4 billion firm order contract that will boost Embraer significantly and ensure consistent work as deliveries are set to begin in 2027. Avelo currently has a smaller fleet of 22 Boeing 737 Next Generation narrowbody airliners. The airline has been steadily growing since 2021 by bringing its fleet to underserved airfields.
Embraer is the most important supplier of new airframes to the regional jet industry of the domestic US aviation market. Important carriers that fly ‘puddle jumpers’ from major hubs to local fields rely on the planes every day. Many of the big three’s (American Airlines, United Airlines, and Delta Air Lines) subsidiary carriers have fleets that are dominated by Embraer airframes or are even exclusively composed of the Brazilian planes. Embraer’s order book is detailed in the table below.
| Aircraft Type | Firm Orders | Deliveries | Backlog |
| E170 | 191 | 191 | |
| E175 | 1000 | 792 | 208 |
| E190 | 568 | 568 | |
| E195 | 172 | 172 | |
| E190-E2 | 67 | 28 | 39 |
| E195-E2 | 330 | 140 | 190 |
Avelo has also been controversial in the past year for its part in facilitating the unprecedented wave of deportation flights with Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). Despite the public backlash, it appears that the contract payout from the federal charters was sufficient to enable Avelo to place what is the largest plane order in its short history.
Latest and greatest E2 Jets
The E195-E2 is the newest and largest member of the E-Jet family. As the long-range, high-capacity leader of the E2 series, it is built to optimize efficiency and revenue on high-density routes. In comparison to current-generation E-Jets, the E195-E2 achieves double-digit lower fuel consumption thanks to new wingtips and high-aspect wings, as well as other aerodynamic refinements.
Embraer claims the E195-E2 is the quietest single-aisle aircraft on the market today. It has a 62% smaller noise footprint than its previous generation jet. The maker also says the jet is 29% more fuel efficient than its predecessors. The full range includes the smaller E190-E2 and the smallest E175-E2.
The E195-E2 will debut the new E2 Enhanced Takeoff System (E2TS) and will have an extra 400 nautical miles of range despite being able to perform takeoffs from runways shorter than 5,000 feet. Leeham News and Analysis reports that Avelo will launch the jets in Key West, Florida, where it is set to start service in November.
